The ClearBridge Recession Risk Dashboard gauges the likelihood of economic recession occurring over the next six to 18 months. It assesses 12 individual economic indicators that fall into four key areas: Business Activity, Consumer, Financial and Inflation. Each indicator can signal expansion, caution or recession based on the latest readings and ClearBridge’s analysis of the underlying trends. The signals from each of the 12 indicators are combined into an overall reading of either green, yellow or red. The signals and their changes are based on ClearBridge’s analysis and interpretations of the data. The ClearBridge Recession Risk Dashboard is not a crystal ball, but it can serve as a tool to help evaluate the risk of recession.
The interactive tool allows you to adjust the inputs on all 12 indicators. Hover over feature gives you more insight into each of the data inputs. The indicator defaults to an assessment setting reflecting the current environment.
The indicator is updated monthly using the most recent data available, supplied by Clearbridge (last update 5/15/19).