Market Outlook

Featured Market Outlook


Market Outlook

Market Outlook
Mar 20
Market Outlook

Around the Curve

Brexit: Beginning of the End? or...

March 20, 2019

Is the Brexit story about to end, or about to begin?

Market Outlook
Mar 20
Market Outlook

Mid Week Bond Update

Brexit Pulse: Mostly Steady

March 20, 2019

Sailing into Brexit's uncharted waters, the UK economy is largely shipshape; High-yield energy bonds reflect uncertainty over crude oil prices; TIPS yields reflect falling inflation expectations in the shadow of the FOMC's latest report.

Market Outlook
Mar 14
Market Outlook

Mid Week Bond Update

Rates: Upbeat Consumers vs. Downbeat Fed?

March 14, 2019

Could a rise in consumer sentiment influence the Fed's plans?

Market Outlook
Mar 06
Market Outlook

Mid Week Bond Update

Sovereign Bonds: The ESG Factor

March 06, 2019

A timely look at how ESG principles might factor into sovereign debt analysis; bond investors got some upside news on the U.S. economy; China's latest goals could benefit debtholders.

Market Outlook
Feb 27
Market Outlook

Mid Week Bond Update

U.S. Rate Policy: All Clear?

February 27, 2019

As the Fed's policies stabilize, markets appear to be calming down; Treasury term spreads are widening above 5-year maturities, but for different reasons at different intervals; China's government bond yields reflect the current policies of promoting growth.

Market Outlook
Feb 25
Market Outlook

Bond Market Outlook

A Long Leash for Central Banks

February 25, 2019

Subdued core inflation allows central banks a very long leash to keep interest rates low. Further interest rate hikes are likely off the table until growth picks up enough to push inflation rates higher.

Market Outlook
Feb 20
Market Outlook

Mid Week Bond Update

U.S. Retail Sales: Worth the Wait?

February 20, 2019

December retail sales in the U.S. disappointed; credit conditions in Asia ex Japan improved; U.S. Treasury term premium continued to drop

Market Outlook
Feb 13
Market Outlook

Mid Week Bond Update

U.S. Rates vs. the Market: Resistance is Futile

February 13, 2019

Financial markets provided the Fed with a lesson on expectations.

Market Outlook
Feb 06
Market Outlook

Mid Week Bond Update

EM Bonds: Getting Paid

February 06, 2019

Some EM countries are less vulnerable than others to foreign creditors; U.S. High Yield spreads rise, along with returns; Eurozone PMIs are on the downswing.

Market Outlook
Feb 04
Market Outlook

Recession indicators update

Inflationary Pressures Building

February 04, 2019

Our Recession Risk Dashboard still signals economic expansion, but faster wage growth has moved that indicator from green to yellow, due to potential pressure on corporate margins.

15/107
Top

All investments involve risk, including loss of principal. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Please see each product’s webpage for specific details regarding investment objective, risks associated with hedge funds, alternative investments and other risks, performance and other important information. Review this information carefully before you make any investment decision.