U.S. Economy: Stay in Front of the Business Cycle

 

How close could we be to the next recession? Will growth hold steady, weaken or pick up by the end of 2019?  What factors are most important to watch to help keep clients on track?

ClearBridge Investments' Recession Risk Dashboard offers valuable answers, tracking key data along four vital economic fault lines. Discover how the Dashboard works and how it can help you stay prepared for changes ahead — with Anatomy of a Recession.

 

U.S. Recession Risk Indicators

  • 12 variables have historically foreshadowed a looming recession

Data as of November 30, 2019.

Sources: ClearBridge Investments, BLS, Federal Reserve, Census Bureau, ISM, BEA, American Chemistry Council, American Trucking Association, Conference Board, and Bloomberg. The ClearBridge Recession Risk Dashboard was created in January 2016. References to the signals it would have sent in the years prior to January 2016 are based on how the underlying data was reflected in the component indicators at the time.

U.S. Recession Risk Indicators

  • 12 variables have historically foreshadowed a looming recession


Data as of November 30, 2019.

Sources: ClearBridge Investments, BLS, Federal Reserve, Census Bureau, ISM, BEA, American Chemistry Council, American Trucking Association, Conference Board, and Bloomberg. The ClearBridge Recession Risk Dashboard was created in January 2016. References to the signals it would have sent in the years prior to January 2016 are based on how the underlying data was reflected in the component indicators at the time.

U.S. Recession Dashboard

Case Study: 2006-2009

 

Source: BLS, Federal Reserve, Census Bureau, ISM, BEA, American Chemistry Council, American Trucking Association, Conference Board, and Bloomberg.


Utilize the power of ClearBridge Investments' interactive Recession Risk Indicator for yourself to get insight into the strength of the economy.

Stay Updated


Recession Risk: Stay Ready with Our Economic Updates

Register for our timely economic updates, which include changes to the U.S. Recession Risk Indicators and insights from our global thought leadership.


Resources


Anatomy of a Recession Program Overview

This brochure provides an overview of the Anatomy of a Recession program, how to use it to enhance your client conversations, and the resources available.






Insights

All investments involve risk, including loss of principal. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Please see each product’s webpage for specific details regarding investment objective, risks, performance and other important information. Review this information carefully before you make any investment decision.