US Economy: Anatomy of a Recession
Anatomy of a Recession: How close could we be to the next recession – and what should we watch for in the months ahead?
U.S. Economy: Ready for a Change in the Weather?
Recession Risk: Stay Ready with Our Economic Updates
Register for our timely economic updates, which include changes to the U.S. Recession Risk Indicators and insights from our global thought leadership.
This brochure provides an overview of the Anatomy of a Recession program, how to use it to enhance your client conversations, and the resources available.
With control of the Senate and House now divided, and the prospects for a recession still muted, the S&P 500 should continue to march higher in 2019 – with areas of potential opportunity for active managers in specific sectors.
As monetary policy normalizes and the economic cycle matures, volatile days like those just experienced may become more common. However, the end of the cycle appears to remain in the distant future, allowing investors to find opportunity amid market anxiety.
ClearBridge's Recession Risk Dashboard continues to point to healthy backdrop for the U.S. economy and further continuation of an already record-setting expansion, with equity markets benefiting from buybacks and other shareholder-friendly moves through the coming quarter.
In This Series
|October 12, 2018||Today's Challenge: Markets vs. Economics||Last week's markets left investors looking to economics for clues; Italy faced up to the EU; China's trade surplus ballooned|
|September 10, 2018||Recession Indicators Update: Money Supply||Economic conditions are shifting, but the ClearBridge Recession Risk Dashboard still points to expansion rather than recession.|
|July 03, 2018||Beyond the Wall of Worry||Though trade war tensions could sidetrack investors, history suggests markets should rally after midterm elections -- with recession risks low going into Trump's third year in office.|
|May 03, 2018||U.S. Economy: Keep on Trucking||Our Recession Risk Dashboard continues to signal that the likelihood of a pullback in the next 12 months is low -- a view supported by recent data on the volume of freight shipped via trucks.|
|April 09, 2018||Stocks: Perspective on the Pullback||None of the catalysts behind the recent pullback have changed the larger backdrop for the market. Fundamentals remain solid, and we believe the current pullback has largely run its course.|
|January 16, 2018||Recession Risks Muted Heading Into 2018||The positive economic momentum that lifted equities over the past year should continue into 2018, with higher interest rates and inflation posing the biggest risks, notes ClearBridge Investment Strategist Jeff Schulze.|
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